Qualification · Qualification 32
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
133.4 – 52.82
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 190
Prediction missed · off by 99.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 88.33Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 13.35Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 31.72Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 6.51Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -6.95Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 53.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8032, 2550, 5975
46
/ 100 compatProjected
133.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8032, 2550, 5975
Auto
19.1 14%
Teleop
55.3 40%
Endgame
62.7 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9567, 5970, 997
24
/ 100 compatProjected
52.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9567, 5970, 997
Auto
1.2 3%
Teleop
29.1 81%
Endgame
5.7 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score133.4pts
Blue projected score52.8pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.6
- Score range
- 16–170
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
210.4Season APEX299.3
19.1Auto1.2
55.3Teleop29.1
62.7Endgame5.7
103Consistency86
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 33 |
| teleop | 29 | 100 |
| endgame | 20 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 72 | 190 |
Result
Final score
72 – 190
Prediction missed · off by 99.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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