Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.32 – 120.49

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 427.8 ±11

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 122.83Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 173.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3636Generals

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 19.14Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288.7 ±12

2733Pigmice

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 40.87Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 73.69Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 5.93Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3674, 1425, 3636

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3674, 1425, 3636

Auto

79.2 27%

Teleop

155.0 53%

Endgame

58.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2733, 2811, 2550

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2733, 2811, 2550

Auto

18.6 15%

Teleop

49.9 41%

Endgame

51.9 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.3pts

Blue projected score120.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.8
Score range: 78–357
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 233.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

427.8Season APEX288.7

79.2Auto18.6

155Teleop49.9

58Endgame51.9

86Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	22
teleop	131	34
endgame	32	50
foul	40	0
total	297	106

Result

Final score

297 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree