Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.69 – 144.61

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.2 ±12.2

8032SAASquatch Robotics

Season APEX 108.7Event APEX 104.55Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1359Scalawags

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 66.8Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 147.34Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.7 ±12.8

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 88.69Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

749Ctrl V

Season APEX 74Event APEX 50.71Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 5.21Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8032, 1359, 2471

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8032, 1359, 2471

Auto

78.3 24%

Teleop

169.4 52%

Endgame

75.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 957, 749, 2550

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 957, 749, 2550

Auto

19.4 13%

Teleop

72.0 49%

Endgame

54.5 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score318.7pts

Blue projected score144.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.1
Score range: 109–355
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 202.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.2Season APEX246.7

78.3Auto19.4

169.4Teleop72

75.5Endgame54.5

65Consistency171

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	42
teleop	135	49
endgame	43	74
foul	5	10
total	270	175

Result

Final score

270 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.