Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
179.98 – 250.94
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
186 – 169
Prediction missed · off by 44 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 118.06Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 20.25Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 41.67Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 370.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 16.8Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 76.15Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 157.99Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4915, 4662, 6465
55
/ 100 compatProjected
180 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4915, 4662, 6465
Auto
32.9 20%
Teleop
90.9 55%
Endgame
40.4 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9567, 2521, 4488
67
/ 100 compatProjected
250.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9567, 2521, 4488
Auto
45.7 19%
Teleop
140.9 57%
Endgame
59.8 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score180pts
Blue projected score250.9pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -71
- Score range
- 138–293
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
369.4Season APEX370.6
32.9Auto45.7
90.9Teleop140.9
40.4Endgame59.8
44Consistency45
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 44 |
| teleop | 86 | 113 |
| endgame | 62 | 7 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 186 | 169 |
Result
Final score
186 – 169
Prediction missed · off by 44 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree