Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.78 – 90.56

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

259 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.6 ±10.5

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 117.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 77.96Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9600X-Flare Robotics

Season APEX 101.1Event APEX 22.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.7 ±12.8

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 64.37Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6831A-05 Annex

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 7.02Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2550Skynet

Season APEX 39Event APEX 19.17Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3674, 4915, 9600

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3674, 4915, 9600

Auto

43.5 23%

Teleop

101.0 54%

Endgame

42.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9430, 6831, 2550

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9430, 6831, 2550

Auto

33.4 40%

Teleop

25.0 30%

Endgame

24.8 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score217.8pts

Blue projected score90.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.2
Score range: 56–253
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 421 vs event baseline 193.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.6Season APEX271.7

43.5Auto33.4

101Teleop25

42.4Endgame24.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	37
teleop	127	105
endgame	68	20
foul	10	0
total	259	162

Result

Final score

259 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.