Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
228.72 – 99.11
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
102 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 67.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 24.31Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 148.06Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 56.35Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333 ±11
Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 22.35Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 28.81Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 47.95Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5975, 2471, 3669
70
/ 100 compatProjected
228.7 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5975, 2471, 3669
Auto
71.5 33%
Teleop
123.1 56%
Endgame
24.8 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2635, 3636, 2521
40
/ 100 compatProjected
99.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2635, 3636, 2521
Auto
35.0 37%
Teleop
56.9 61%
Endgame
1.5 2%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score228.7pts
Blue projected score99.1pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 129.6
- Score range
- 61–267
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
321.6Season APEX333
71.5Auto35
123.1Teleop56.9
24.8Endgame1.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 22 |
| teleop | 32 | 49 |
| endgame | 7 | 36 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 102 | 107 |
Result
Final score
102 – 107
Prediction missed · off by 67.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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