Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
427.36 – 162.37
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
292 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 86 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 552 ±12.7
Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 170.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 10.81Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 245.78Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 21.48Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 71.96Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 68.93Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4039, 11215, 4678
82
/ 100 compatProjected
427.4 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4039, 11215, 4678
Auto
75.2 18%
Teleop
247.2 59%
Endgame
98.8 23%
Strengths
- · 4678 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3756, 5024, 1229
55
/ 100 compatProjected
162.4 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3756, 5024, 1229
Auto
34.5 21%
Teleop
85.6 53%
Endgame
40.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score427.4pts
Blue projected score162.4pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 265
- Score range
- 126–463
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
552Season APEX307.6
75.2Auto34.5
247.2Teleop85.6
98.8Endgame40.5
42Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 109 | 25 |
| teleop | 125 | 104 |
| endgame | 33 | 70 |
| foul | 25 | 0 |
| total | 292 | 199 |
Result
Final score
292 – 199
Prediction correct · off by 86 pts
Match videos
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