Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
250.91 – 170.82
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
82 – 91
Prediction missed · off by 124.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 24.09Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 90.42Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.7Event APEX 136.4Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 24.41Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 74.56Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 71.85Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2634, 3739, 4920
69
/ 100 compatProjected
250.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2634, 3739, 4920
Auto
32.7 14%
Teleop
126.6 52%
Endgame
81.9 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3756, 5024, 1229
57
/ 100 compatProjected
170.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3756, 5024, 1229
Auto
35.1 21%
Teleop
90.4 54%
Endgame
43.4 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score250.9pts
Blue projected score170.8pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.1
- Score range
- 134–288
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
360.2Season APEX307.6
32.7Auto35.1
126.6Teleop90.4
81.9Endgame43.4
11Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 29 |
| teleop | 28 | 45 |
| endgame | 34 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 82 | 91 |
Result
Final score
82 – 91
Prediction missed · off by 124.4 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.