Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
132.81 – 215.76
26%74%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
240 – 199
Prediction missed · off by 62 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.6 ±11
Season APEX 43.4Event APEX 81.28Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.7Event APEX 39.71Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 11.82Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 504 ±9.8
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 97.71Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 30.62Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.2Event APEX 87.43Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5689, 4920, 5912
52
/ 100 compatProjected
132.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5689, 4920, 5912
Auto
19.5 15%
Teleop
60.7 46%
Endgame
52.6 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5024, 9262, 5406
76
/ 100 compatProjected
215.8 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5024, 9262, 5406
Auto
53.1 25%
Teleop
110.1 52%
Endgame
48.3 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score132.8pts
Blue projected score215.8pts
Red win probability26%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 69%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -82.9
- Score range
- 98–251
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
269.6Season APEX504
19.5Auto53.1
60.7Teleop110.1
52.6Endgame48.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 49 |
| teleop | 128 | 93 |
| endgame | 52 | 57 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 240 | 199 |
Result
Final score
240 – 199
Prediction missed · off by 62 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.