ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

192.49 – 247.39

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

179 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.8 ±11.7

1229Tidal Shift

Season APEX 100Event APEX 53.16Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5024Raider Robotics

Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 92.97Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8789The Lost 10mm Sockets

Season APEX 99.3Event APEX 46.36Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.6 ±10.4

5408Kennedy Kinetics

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 5.71Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2702Rebels

Season APEX 265.1Event APEX 222.79Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 18.89Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1229, 5024, 8789

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1229, 5024, 8789

Auto

47.8 25%

Teleop

114.6 61%

Endgame

25.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5408, 2702, 9262

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5408, 2702, 9262

Auto

42.9 17%

Teleop

148.9 61%

Endgame

53.9 22%

Strengths

· 2702 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.5pts

Blue projected score247.4pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.9
Score range: 159–280
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 185.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.8Season APEX452.6

47.8Auto42.9

114.6Teleop148.9

25.4Endgame53.9

5Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	48
teleop	80	218
endgame	53	69
foul	10	0
total	179	335

Result

Final score

179 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 50.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.