Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
44.12 – 352.04
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
172 – 285
Prediction correct · off by 97.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 16.66Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.1Event APEX -19.31Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 46.77Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 106.39Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 201.93Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 43.72Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6875, 8081, 5885
11
/ 100 compatProjected
44.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6875, 8081, 5885
Auto
27.1 61%
Teleop
-2.3 0%
Endgame
19.3 44%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5024, 4039, 781
83
/ 100 compatProjected
352 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5024, 4039, 781
Auto
57.0 16%
Teleop
204.8 59%
Endgame
85.4 25%
Strengths
- · 4039 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score44.1pts
Blue projected score352pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -307.9
- Score range
- 10–386
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
247.2Season APEX408.9
27.1Auto57
-2.3Teleop204.8
19.3Endgame85.4
60Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 63 |
| teleop | 64 | 180 |
| endgame | 64 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 172 | 285 |
Result
Final score
172 – 285
Prediction correct · off by 97.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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