Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
163.61 – 199.81
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
187 – 128
Prediction missed · off by 47.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 89.3Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 29.77Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.3Event APEX 44.54Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 19.84Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.3Event APEX 35.66Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 162.7Event APEX 144.31Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3739, 5912, 772
54
/ 100 compatProjected
163.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3739, 5912, 772
Auto
26.5 17%
Teleop
93.2 59%
Endgame
39.1 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7058, 8789, 4920
59
/ 100 compatProjected
199.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7058, 8789, 4920
Auto
19.8 10%
Teleop
113.2 59%
Endgame
58.1 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163.6pts
Blue projected score199.8pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.2
- Score range
- 129–235
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
303.7Season APEX318.2
26.5Auto19.8
93.2Teleop113.2
39.1Endgame58.1
2Consistency11
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 18 |
| teleop | 96 | 60 |
| endgame | 61 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 187 | 128 |
Result
Final score
187 – 128
Prediction missed · off by 47.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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