Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.04 – 182.72
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 376
Prediction correct · off by 107.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 4.01Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 54.47Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 16.56Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 265.1Event APEX 132.78Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 56.63Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -6.69Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2634, 3756, 7058
37
/ 100 compatProjected
75 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2634, 3756, 7058
Auto
15.9 21%
Teleop
44.8 60%
Endgame
14.0 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2702, 1229, 6725
62
/ 100 compatProjected
182.7 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2702, 1229, 6725
Auto
35.0 19%
Teleop
113.6 62%
Endgame
36.0 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75pts
Blue projected score182.7pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -107.7
- Score range
- 42–216
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
219.9Season APEX400.3
15.9Auto35
44.8Teleop113.6
14Endgame36
76Consistency77
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 57 |
| teleop | 10 | 248 |
| endgame | 19 | 71 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 376 |
Result
Final score
53 – 376
Prediction correct · off by 107.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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