ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.8 – 309.18

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 102.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 205.6 ±11.7

4617DAUN

Season APEX 73Event APEX 17.59Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5689CK Cyber Pack

Season APEX 43.4Event APEX 34.34Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5408Kennedy Kinetics

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 28.87Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545.5 ±9.3

4678CyberCavs

A+

Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 262.35Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX 0.7Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4688Saints Bot

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 46.13Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4617, 5689, 5408

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4617, 5689, 5408

Auto

7.7 9%

Teleop

33.3 40%

Endgame

42.0 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4678, 772, 4688

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4678, 772, 4688

Auto

30.0 10%

Teleop

201.6 65%

Endgame

76.3 25%

Strengths

· 4678 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.8pts

Blue projected score309.2pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.4
Score range: 49–341
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 179.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

205.6Season APEX545.5

7.7Auto30

33.3Teleop201.6

42Endgame76.3

14Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	69
teleop	6	269
endgame	4	114
foul	0	0
total	18	452

Result

Final score

18 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 102.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.