Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
62.9 – 0
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
101 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 125.5Event APEX 86.27Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 2.69Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.1Event APEX -26.06Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 124.3Event APEX -3.81Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX -11.95Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX -0.87Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5024, 5408, 8081
42
/ 100 compatProjected
62.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5024, 5408, 8081
Auto
10.1 17%
Teleop
33.2 55%
Endgame
17.5 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 772, 7058, 6162
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-16.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 772, 7058, 6162
Auto
5.9 0%
Teleop
-21.0 100%
Endgame
-2.8 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score62.9pts
Blue projected score-16.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 62.9
- Score range
- -34–97
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
265.8Season APEX239.4
10.1Auto5.9
33.2Teleop-21
17.5Endgame-2.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 14 |
| teleop | 65 | 31 |
| endgame | 5 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 101 | 48 |
Result
Final score
101 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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