ONT District Windsor Essex Great Lake Event

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.09 – 44.03

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 58.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.3 ±11

9262Humberside Huskies

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 18.41Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4039MakeShift Robotics

Season APEX 199.5Event APEX 167.87Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5912Copper Hawks

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 32.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.6 ±13.6

4688Saints Bot

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 18.94Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11215Les Panthères

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 3.18Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11362RoBumpers

Season APEX 18.5Event APEX 21.91Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9262, 4039, 5912

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9262, 4039, 5912

Auto

29.4 14%

Teleop

122.1 56%

Endgame

65.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4688, 11215, 11362

/ 100 compat

Projected

44 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4688, 11215, 11362

Auto

11.7 27%

Teleop

12.3 28%

Endgame

19.2 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score219.1pts

Blue projected score44pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 175.1
Score range: 10–253
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 381 vs event baseline 190.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.3Season APEX185.6

29.4Auto11.7

122.1Teleop12.3

65.4Endgame19.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	16
teleop	143	44
endgame	79	30
foul	10	0
total	291	90

Result

Final score

291 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 58.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.