Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
146.6 – 178.29
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
163 – 137
Prediction missed · off by 28.8 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 115.9Event APEX 40.81Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 81.65Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 24.14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321 ±11.7
Season APEX 162.1Event APEX 111.68Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100Event APEX 44.14Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 22.47Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3739, 4940, 781
59
/ 100 compatProjected
146.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3739, 4940, 781
Auto
32.3 22%
Teleop
64.8 44%
Endgame
49.9 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 865, 1229, 6162
69
/ 100 compatProjected
178.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 865, 1229, 6162
Auto
42.9 25%
Teleop
86.4 51%
Endgame
39.1 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score146.6pts
Blue projected score178.3pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -31.7
- Score range
- 112–213
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
261.1Season APEX321
32.3Auto42.9
64.8Teleop86.4
49.9Endgame39.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 33 |
| teleop | 98 | 72 |
| endgame | 24 | 32 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 137 |
Result
Final score
163 – 137
Prediction missed · off by 28.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.