Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
155.48 – 155.71
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
231 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 88.1 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 117.9Event APEX -2.03Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.8Event APEX 89.67Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.5Event APEX 67.84Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 124.3Event APEX 31.84Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 23.92Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 99.95Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4688, 5885, 4907
62
/ 100 compatProjected
155.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4688, 5885, 4907
Auto
36.6 23%
Teleop
76.5 48%
Endgame
45.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 772, 5408, 3756
62
/ 100 compatProjected
155.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 772, 5408, 3756
Auto
34.5 23%
Teleop
81.1 54%
Endgame
33.8 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score155.5pts
Blue projected score155.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -0.2
- Score range
- 119–192
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
457.2Season APEX295.6
36.6Auto34.5
76.5Teleop81.1
45.8Endgame33.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 10 |
| teleop | 114 | 37 |
| endgame | 74 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 231 | 55 |
Result
Final score
231 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 88.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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