Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

439.69 – 119.93

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

475 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 548.4 ±9.5

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -29.82Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 275.67Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3683Team DAVE

Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 193.84Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.4 ±11

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 26.29Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 66.64Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 27Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6854, 1325, 3683

/ 100 compat

Projected

439.7 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6854, 1325, 3683

Auto

86.0 20%

Teleop

245.3 57%

Endgame

100.6 23%

Strengths

· 1325 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2852, 9562, 6110

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2852, 9562, 6110

Auto

28.4 24%

Teleop

48.6 40%

Endgame

43.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score439.7pts

Blue projected score119.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 319.8
Score range: 69–491
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 663 vs event baseline 282.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

548.4Season APEX289.4

86Auto28.4

245.3Teleop48.6

100.6Endgame43.7

20Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	36
teleop	237	84
endgame	138	63
foul	0	5
total	475	188

Result

Final score

475 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.