Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

619.33 – 86.69

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

739 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 885.7 ±9.3

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 31.85Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 293.86Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 293.62Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.1 ±10.4

10514Mixed Métal

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 23.51Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9263ALD Lions

Season APEX 100.7Event APEX 22.06Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 41.12Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 1114, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

619.3 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 1114, 2056

Auto

151.6 24%

Teleop

355.6 57%

Endgame

111.6 18%

Strengths

· 1114 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10514, 9263, 7476

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10514, 9263, 7476

Auto

17.6 20%

Teleop

54.8 64%

Endgame

13.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score619.3pts

Blue projected score86.7pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 532.6
Score range: 37–669
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 835 vs event baseline 279.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

885.7Season APEX268.1

151.6Auto17.6

355.6Teleop54.8

111.6Endgame13.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	191	18
teleop	471	48
endgame	72	30
foul	5	0
total	739	96

Result

Final score

739 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 64.5 pts

Match videos

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