Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.99 – 166.66

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 116.3 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±11

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 89.15Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7659HNMCS Robotics

Season APEX 85Event APEX 59.37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 117.47Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±10.5

11002Montcalm Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 16.89Rank 27Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 87.99Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 61.78Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6975, 7659, 3161

/ 100 compat

Projected

266 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6975, 7659, 3161

Auto

49.6 19%

Teleop

133.4 52%

Endgame

75.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11002, 2013, 2852

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11002, 2013, 2852

Auto

33.4 21%

Teleop

96.7 60%

Endgame

31.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266pts

Blue projected score166.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.3
Score range: 114–319
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 294.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.9Season APEX256.4

49.6Auto33.4

133.4Teleop96.7

75.5Endgame31.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	19
teleop	100	11
endgame	47	0
foul	0	5
total	165	35

Result

Final score

165 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 116.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.