Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
374.09 – 180.52
92%8%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
231 – 283
Prediction missed · off by 122.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 118.86Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 156.94Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 98.29Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 98.29Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 19.71Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120Event APEX 62.52Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1360, 919, 10514
83
/ 100 compatProjected
374.1 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1360, 919, 10514
Auto
79.4 21%
Teleop
213.6 57%
Endgame
79.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 18%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3683, 6854, 6978
56
/ 100 compatProjected
180.5 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3683, 6854, 6978
Auto
33.2 19%
Teleop
95.4 53%
Endgame
50.6 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 18%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score374.1pts
Blue projected score180.5pts
Red win probability92%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 193.6
- Score range
- 131–424
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
324.3Season APEX354.8
79.4Auto33.2
213.6Teleop95.4
79.6Endgame50.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 30 |
| teleop | 121 | 176 |
| endgame | 56 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 231 | 283 |
Result
Final score
231 – 283
Prediction missed · off by 122.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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