Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.08 – 128.51

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.6 ±9.9

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 9.44Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 48.67Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 144.97Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.1 ±10.4

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 63.75Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 37.05Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 27.71Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6975, 2013, 1241

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6975, 2013, 1241

Auto

23.7 11%

Teleop

125.8 61%

Endgame

58.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9562, 7476, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9562, 7476, 919

Auto

28.5 21%

Teleop

64.8 49%

Endgame

40.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.1pts

Blue projected score128.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.6
Score range: 79–253
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 280.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

543.6Season APEX293.1

23.7Auto28.5

125.8Teleop64.8

58.4Endgame40.1

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	26
teleop	156	100
endgame	54	61
foul	40	0
total	272	187

Result

Final score

272 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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