Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

129.7 – 428.99

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 534

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268 ±11

11428Horns of Steel

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 16.81Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 70.67Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 42.22Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.3 ±9.8

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 197.41Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10514Mixed Métal

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 16.14Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 215.44Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11428, 9062, 7757

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11428, 9062, 7757

Auto

27.4 22%

Teleop

56.5 46%

Endgame

39.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1360, 10514, 4476

/ 100 compat

Projected

429 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1360, 10514, 4476

Auto

72.7 18%

Teleop

230.8 56%

Endgame

111.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129.7pts

Blue projected score429pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -299.3
Score range: 80–479
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 643 vs event baseline 279.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268Season APEX550.3

27.4Auto72.7

56.5Teleop230.8

39.8Endgame111.4

0Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	61
teleop	12	320
endgame	34	153
foul	30	0
total	109	534

Result

Final score

109 – 534

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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