Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.87 – 331.23

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 521

Prediction correct · off by 97.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.2 ±11

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 31.86Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7659HNMCS Robotics

Season APEX 85Event APEX 35.64Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -27.63Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.2 ±9.3

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 53.02Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 6.98Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 271.23Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 7659, 6854

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 7659, 6854

Auto

6.4 21%

Teleop

14.4 46%

Endgame

10.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9062, 8349, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.2 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 8349, 2056

Auto

69.6 21%

Teleop

175.8 53%

Endgame

84.1 26%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score39.9pts

Blue projected score331.2pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -291.4
Score range: -10–381
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 276.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.2Season APEX615.2

6.4Auto69.6

14.4Teleop175.8

10.2Endgame84.1

15Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	108
teleop	15	312
endgame	14	86
foul	0	15
total	34	521

Result

Final score

34 – 521

Prediction correct · off by 97.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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