Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.9 – 84.78

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.1 ±11.6

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 22.95Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 6.01Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 50.94Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.6 ±9.8

9263ALD Lions

Season APEX 100.7Event APEX 36.82Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 36.66Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 11.3Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6110, 6975, 9062

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6110, 6975, 9062

Auto

11.4 15%

Teleop

18.1 23%

Endgame

49.1 62%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9263, 919, 8349

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9263, 919, 8349

Auto

22.7 25%

Teleop

29.6 33%

Endgame

38.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.9pts

Blue projected score84.8pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.9
Score range: 31–134
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 273.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.1Season APEX235.6

11.4Auto22.7

18.1Teleop29.6

49.1Endgame38.4

29Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	15
teleop	37	26
endgame	34	31
foul	5	0
total	112	72

Result

Final score

112 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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