Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
54.38 – 124.48
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
137 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.1 ±11
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -36.88Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 76.18Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 15.08Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 59.95Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70Event APEX 20.52Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 44.01Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6854, 9562, 2852
28
/ 100 compatProjected
54.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6854, 9562, 2852
Auto
7.6 19%
Teleop
18.0 46%
Endgame
13.9 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2013, 6110, 7476
39
/ 100 compatProjected
124.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2013, 6110, 7476
Auto
33.9 27%
Teleop
54.8 43%
Endgame
38.5 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score54.4pts
Blue projected score124.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -70.1
- Score range
- 4–174
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
257.1Season APEX292.1
7.6Auto33.9
18Teleop54.8
13.9Endgame38.5
47Consistency41
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 41 |
| teleop | 44 | 72 |
| endgame | 62 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 137 | 138 |
Result
Final score
137 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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