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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.38124.48

29%71%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137138

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.1 ±11
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -36.88Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 76.18Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 15.08Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 59.95Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70Event APEX 20.52Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 44.01Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6854, 9562, 2852
28
/ 100 compat
Projected
54.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6854, 9562, 2852
Auto
7.6 19%
Teleop
18.0 46%
Endgame
13.9 35%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2013, 6110, 7476
39
/ 100 compat
Projected
124.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2013, 6110, 7476
Auto
33.9 27%
Teleop
54.8 43%
Endgame
38.5 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score54.4pts
Blue projected score124.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-70.1
Score range
4174
Upset likelihood
29%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 277.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.1Season APEX292.1
7.6Auto33.9
18Teleop54.8
13.9Endgame38.5
47Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3141
teleop4472
endgame6220
foul05
total137138

Result

Final score

137138

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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