Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
704.43 – 102.77
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
710 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 1011.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 283.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 130.92Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 289.57Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 27.77Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.7Event APEX 40.81Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85Event APEX 34.19Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1114, 3161, 2056
81
/ 100 compatProjected
704.4 pts
~3.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1114, 3161, 2056
Auto
165.1 23%
Teleop
405.8 57%
Endgame
135.4 19%
Strengths
- · 2056 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 43%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10514, 9263, 7659
29
/ 100 compatProjected
102.8 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10514, 9263, 7659
Auto
17.1 17%
Teleop
79.3 78%
Endgame
5.0 5%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 43%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 3.09 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score704.4pts
Blue projected score102.8pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 601.7
- Score range
- 54–753
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
1011.7Season APEX244.6
165.1Auto17.1
405.8Teleop79.3
135.4Endgame5
0Consistency72
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 137 | 7 |
| teleop | 450 | 21 |
| endgame | 118 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 710 | 57 |
Result
Final score
710 – 57
Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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