Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.52 – 18.26

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.3 ±10.5

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 23.76Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 60.65Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6110Doc Botics

Season APEX 70Event APEX 19.11Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.6 ±11.6

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 9.14Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -34.06Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 43.18Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7757, 2013, 6110

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7757, 2013, 6110

Auto

50.6 48%

Teleop

24.8 23%

Endgame

30.2 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6975, 6854, 7476

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6975, 6854, 7476

Auto

3.6 31%

Teleop

-16.5 0%

Endgame

24.6 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.5pts

Blue projected score18.3pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.3
Score range: -32–154
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 279.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.3Season APEX206.6

50.6Auto3.6

24.8Teleop-16.5

30.2Endgame24.6

26Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	53	17
endgame	46	9
foul	0	0
total	120	41

Result

Final score

120 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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