Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.58 – 277.77

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 127.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 255.7 ±10.5

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 68.49Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11428Horns of Steel

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 36.22Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 40.87Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.5 ±10.5

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 200.78Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11002Montcalm Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -27.15Rank 27Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3161Tronic Titans

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 104.14Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2013, 11428, 919

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2013, 11428, 919

Auto

36.1 25%

Teleop

77.5 53%

Endgame

33.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4476, 11002, 3161

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4476, 11002, 3161

Auto

52.5 20%

Teleop

150.4 56%

Endgame

63.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.6pts

Blue projected score277.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -132.2
Score range: 96–328
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 516 vs event baseline 276.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

255.7Season APEX518.5

36.1Auto52.5

77.5Teleop150.4

33.5Endgame63.6

0Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	81
teleop	29	241
endgame	23	130
foul	0	0
total	64	452

Result

Final score

64 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 127.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.