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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.75 – 168.55

86%14%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

514 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 125.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 677.2 ±9.8
1360Orbit Robotics
B
Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 155.57Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1241THEORY6
S
Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 127.84Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9263ALD Lions
C
Season APEX 100.7Event APEX 30.34Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±10.4
2852DM Robotics
C
Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 4.84Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6978QuickStrike Niagara
C
Season APEX 120Event APEX 101.45Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9062Critical Circuits
B
Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 62.26Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1360, 1241, 9263
65
/ 100 compat
Projected
313.7 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1360, 1241, 9263
Auto
26.8 9%
Teleop
180.7 58%
Endgame
103.5 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2852, 6978, 9062
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
168.6 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2852, 6978, 9062
Auto
18.2 11%
Teleop
90.7 54%
Endgame
59.8 35%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score313.7pts
Blue projected score168.6pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
145.2
Score range
120–363
Upset likelihood
14%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 733 vs event baseline 273.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

677.2Season APEX348
26.8Auto18.2
180.7Teleop90.7
103.5Endgame59.8
53Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8730
teleop29687
endgame12652
foul550
total514219

Result

Final score

514 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 125.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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