Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

249.13 – 516.54

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

229 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.4 ±9.8

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 40.03Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2852DM Robotics

Season APEX 93.3Event APEX 31.22Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1241THEORY6

Season APEX 369.6Event APEX 177.88Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.4 ±10.5

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 13.54Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 304.26Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 198.74Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7476, 2852, 1241

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7476, 2852, 1241

Auto

37.1 16%

Teleop

127.6 54%

Endgame

70.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6975, 1114, 1360

/ 100 compat

Projected

516.5 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6975, 1114, 1360

Auto

101.8 20%

Teleop

277.6 55%

Endgame

128.8 25%

Strengths

· 1114 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.1pts

Blue projected score516.5pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -267.4
Score range: 195–571
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 645 vs event baseline 300.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.4Season APEX690.4

37.1Auto101.8

127.6Teleop277.6

70Endgame128.8

17Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	94
teleop	136	210
endgame	78	107
foul	0	5
total	229	416

Result

Final score

229 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 60.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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