Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.23 – 134.53

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±10.5

10514Mixed Métal

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 32.73Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 307.24Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX -19.74Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±11

5672First Nations-STEM

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 79.42Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 28.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 26.74Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10514, 2056, 6854

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10514, 2056, 6854

Auto

97.2 31%

Teleop

170.9 55%

Endgame

43.7 14%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5672, 7757, 6975

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5672, 7757, 6975

Auto

34.3 25%

Teleop

58.8 43%

Endgame

43.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score320.2pts

Blue projected score134.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.7
Score range: 85–370
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 277.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.7Season APEX186.9

97.2Auto34.3

170.9Teleop58.8

43.7Endgame43.8

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	29
teleop	171	12
endgame	25	28
foul	0	10
total	214	79

Result

Final score

214 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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