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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Niagara College Event

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

455.25 – 194.4

96%4%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 123.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 616.7 ±9.8
1114Simbotics
S
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 284.1Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9062Critical Circuits
B
Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 96.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10514Mixed Métal
D
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 74.93Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±9.3
6978QuickStrike Niagara
C
Season APEX 120Event APEX 131.43Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8349Newbotics
D
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX -9.23Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2013Cybergnomes
C
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 72.2Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1114, 9062, 10514
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
455.3 pts
~2.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1114, 9062, 10514
Auto
81.3 18%
Teleop
261.6 58%
Endgame
108.1 24%
Strengths
  • · 1114 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6978, 8349, 2013
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
194.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6978, 8349, 2013
Auto
40.1 21%
Teleop
116.3 60%
Endgame
37.2 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 28%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.86 · Blue 0.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score455.3pts
Blue projected score194.4pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
260.9
Score range
147–502
Upset likelihood
4%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 262.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616.7Season APEX310
81.3Auto40.1
261.6Teleop116.3
108.1Endgame37.2
64Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto10236
teleop14457
endgame2242
foul00
total268135

Result

Final score

268 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 123.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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