Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
205.42 – 145.63
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
174 – 225
Prediction missed · off by 55.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 278 ±11
Season APEX 120Event APEX 140.01Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 94.28Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -28.87Rank 27Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±11
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 86.75Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 56.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70Event APEX 2.41Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6978, 7476, 11002
53
/ 100 compatProjected
205.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6978, 7476, 11002
Auto
30.4 15%
Teleop
121.9 60%
Endgame
52.4 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3161, 10514, 6110
43
/ 100 compatProjected
145.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3161, 10514, 6110
Auto
25.1 17%
Teleop
85.6 58%
Endgame
35.9 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score205.4pts
Blue projected score145.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 59.8
- Score range
- 98–253
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
278Season APEX313.4
30.4Auto25.1
121.9Teleop85.6
52.4Endgame35.9
80Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 61 |
| teleop | 92 | 140 |
| endgame | 51 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 174 | 225 |
Result
Final score
174 – 225
Prediction missed · off by 55.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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