Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

295.25 – 189.81

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

387 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 86.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.9 ±10

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 205.7Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10514Mixed Métal

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 73.65Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 15.9Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.3 ±11

9062Critical Circuits

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 152.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 54.56Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11002Montcalm Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -17.1Rank 27Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 10514, 6975

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1325, 10514, 6975

Auto

61.9 21%

Teleop

157.0 54%

Endgame

72.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9062, 9562, 11002

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9062, 9562, 11002

Auto

32.7 18%

Teleop

92.4 51%

Endgame

56.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score295.3pts

Blue projected score189.8pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.4
Score range: 142–343
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 265.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.9Season APEX310.3

61.9Auto32.7

157Teleop92.4

72.5Endgame56.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	14
teleop	257	56
endgame	70	38
foul	0	0
total	387	108

Result

Final score

387 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 86.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.