Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

175.9 – 270.71

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 113.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.6 ±10.5

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 120.92Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 6.36Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 48.62Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 512.5 ±9.8

3683Team DAVE

Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 166.19Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 65.72Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7476Spongebotics

Season APEX 108.5Event APEX 38.8Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 6854, 8349

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 6854, 8349

Auto

34.4 20%

Teleop

88.1 50%

Endgame

52.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3683, 1360, 7476

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3683, 1360, 7476

Auto

52.7 20%

Teleop

147.1 55%

Endgame

67.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.9pts

Blue projected score270.7pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.8
Score range: 127–320
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 273.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.6Season APEX512.5

34.4Auto52.7

88.1Teleop147.1

52Endgame67.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	76
teleop	10	183
endgame	6	84
foul	0	5
total	26	348

Result

Final score

26 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 113.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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