Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.51 – 380.02

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 525

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.8 ±10.4

9263ALD Lions

Season APEX 100.7Event APEX 20.69Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6978QuickStrike Niagara

Season APEX 120Event APEX 114.29Rank 14Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9562Royal Robotics

Season APEX 126.1Event APEX 72.53Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 512.3 ±9.8

7757Atomic Dishwashers

Season APEX 49.7Event APEX 26.83Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 45.44Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 307.75Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9263, 6978, 9562

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9263, 6978, 9562

Auto

32.4 16%

Teleop

112.5 55%

Endgame

61.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7757, 919, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

380 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7757, 919, 2056

Auto

101.7 27%

Teleop

197.1 53%

Endgame

76.5 20%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score207.5pts

Blue projected score380pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.5
Score range: 154–434
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 697 vs event baseline 300.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.8Season APEX512.3

32.4Auto101.7

112.5Teleop197.1

61.3Endgame76.5

2Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	116
teleop	95	319
endgame	54	90
foul	0	0
total	172	525

Result

Final score

172 – 525

Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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