Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

658.61 – 436.1

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

651 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 885.7 ±9.3

919PANTHERA TIGRIS

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 45.9Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 304.64Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 308.07Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567.8 ±9.3

8349Newbotics

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 16.83Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 221.94Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1360Orbit Robotics

Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 197.33Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 1114, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

658.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 919, 1114, 2056

Auto

153.5 23%

Teleop

378.0 58%

Endgame

124.6 19%

Strengths

· 2056 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8349, 4476, 1360

/ 100 compat

Projected

436.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8349, 4476, 1360

Auto

66.6 16%

Teleop

235.6 55%

Endgame

127.1 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score658.6pts

Blue projected score436.1pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 222.5
Score range: 383–712
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1132 vs event baseline 297.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

885.7Season APEX567.8

153.5Auto66.6

378Teleop235.6

124.6Endgame127.1

0Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	175	87
teleop	233	232
endgame	228	162
foul	15	0
total	651	481

Result

Final score

651 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

Match videos

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