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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District Niagara College Event

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

672.02 – 434.83

95%5%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

566 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 885.7 ±9.3
919PANTHERA TIGRIS
D
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 50.54Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1114Simbotics
S
Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 309.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2056OP Robotics
S
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 312.19Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567.8 ±9.3
8349Newbotics
D
Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 16.08Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.
A
Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 221.79Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1360Orbit Robotics
B
Season APEX 206.9Event APEX 196.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 919, 1114, 2056
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
672 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 919, 1114, 2056
Auto
158.4 24%
Teleop
393.9 59%
Endgame
117.5 18%
Strengths
  • · 2056 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8349, 4476, 1360
82
/ 100 compat
Projected
434.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8349, 4476, 1360
Auto
71.7 17%
Teleop
234.7 55%
Endgame
122.1 28%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.81 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score672pts
Blue projected score434.8pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 23%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
237.2
Score range
382–725
Upset likelihood
5%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1005 vs event baseline 293.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

885.7Season APEX567.8
158.4Auto71.7
393.9Teleop234.7
117.5Endgame122.1
0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto11615
teleop268234
endgame177180
foul510
total566439

Result

Final score

566 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts

Match videos

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