Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.65 – 189
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
82 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 31.84Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 44.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 8.12Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 132Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.1Event APEX 50.71Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 6.29Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6725, 6854, 8089
33
/ 100 compatProjected
84.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6725, 6854, 8089
Auto
13.2 15%
Teleop
20.2 23%
Endgame
56.2 63%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9098, 2702, 7058
73
/ 100 compatProjected
189 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9098, 2702, 7058
Auto
54.3 29%
Teleop
96.0 51%
Endgame
39.3 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.7pts
Blue projected score189pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -104.3
- Score range
- 53–221
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.4Season APEX513.7
13.2Auto54.3
20.2Teleop96
56.2Endgame39.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 36 |
| teleop | 45 | 126 |
| endgame | 15 | 55 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 82 | 227 |
Result
Final score
82 – 227
Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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