Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.12 – 117.43
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
134 – 296
Prediction missed · off by 95.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 21.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 33.49Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.3Event APEX 67.43Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467 ±11.2
Season APEX 323.6Event APEX 64Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 26Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 27.43Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 610, 6875, 772
60
/ 100 compatProjected
122.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 610, 6875, 772
Auto
29.5 26%
Teleop
58.9 52%
Endgame
25.3 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4946, 3756, 4940
50
/ 100 compatProjected
117.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4946, 3756, 4940
Auto
15.4 13%
Teleop
50.3 43%
Endgame
51.7 44%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.1pts
Blue projected score117.4pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 4.7
- Score range
- 86–153
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
406.9Season APEX467
29.5Auto15.4
58.9Teleop50.3
25.3Endgame51.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 56 |
| teleop | 85 | 174 |
| endgame | 3 | 41 |
| foul | 20 | 25 |
| total | 134 | 296 |
Result
Final score
134 – 296
Prediction missed · off by 95.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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