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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
ONT District University of Waterloo Event

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

264.36 – 129.95

84%16%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

242 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 427.7 ±11.2
4678CyberCavs
A+
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 239.67Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6725WildBOTS
D
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 9.76Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
5408Kennedy Kinetics
C
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 14.93Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314.7 ±10.4
11227Goose Goose Duck
C
Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 65.3Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3756RamFerno
C
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 41.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2386Trojans
C
Season APEX 126.4Event APEX 23.09Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4678, 6725, 5408
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
264.4 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4678, 6725, 5408
Auto
56.1 22%
Teleop
139.7 54%
Endgame
62.0 24%
Strengths
  • · 4678 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11227, 3756, 2386
47
/ 100 compat
Projected
130 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11227, 3756, 2386
Auto
26.2 22%
Teleop
55.1 47%
Endgame
35.4 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score264.4pts
Blue projected score130pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
134.4
Score range
92–302
Upset likelihood
16%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 401 vs event baseline 209.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

427.7Season APEX314.7
56.1Auto26.2
139.7Teleop55.1
62Endgame35.4
21Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6922
teleop10475
endgame6457
foul55
total242159

Result

Final score

242 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 25.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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