ONT District University of Waterloo Event

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.07 – 302.19

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 63.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.4 ±11

6975The Neil McNeil Brotherhood Bots

Season APEX 60.4Event APEX 17.24Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3756RamFerno

Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 39.43Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1334OT Devils

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 57.4Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.8 ±9.8

5409Chargers

Season APEX 170.5Event APEX 82.48Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 198.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6875Amazon Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 20.74Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6975, 3756, 1334

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6975, 3756, 1334

Auto

18.6 17%

Teleop

71.0 65%

Endgame

19.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5409, 2200, 6875

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5409, 2200, 6875

Auto

84.0 28%

Teleop

168.8 57%

Endgame

42.1 14%

Strengths

· 2200 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.1pts

Blue projected score302.2pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -188.1
Score range: 77–339
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 206.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.4Season APEX499.8

18.6Auto84

71Teleop168.8

19.3Endgame42.1

31Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	98
teleop	48	277
endgame	36	42
foul	10	5
total	107	422

Result

Final score

107 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 63.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.