Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
428.03 – 53.65
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
352 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 559.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 136.4Event APEX 101.5Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 255.91Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120Event APEX 70.62Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187 ±12.2
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 12.9Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 23.69Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 17.06Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4976, 4678, 4917
78
/ 100 compatProjected
428 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4976, 4678, 4917
Auto
74.1 17%
Teleop
269.4 63%
Endgame
84.1 20%
Strengths
- · 4678 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5912, 7058, 6875
19
/ 100 compatProjected
53.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5912, 7058, 6875
Auto
23.3 45%
Teleop
8.5 17%
Endgame
19.7 38%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.81 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score428pts
Blue projected score53.7pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 374.4
- Score range
- 17–465
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
559.7Season APEX187
74.1Auto23.3
269.4Teleop8.5
84.1Endgame19.7
0Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 82 | 6 |
| teleop | 207 | 32 |
| endgame | 58 | 26 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 352 | 69 |
Result
Final score
352 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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