Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
93.42 – 226.96
16%84%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
177 – 163
Prediction missed · off by 73.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 81.5Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.4Event APEX 1.86Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 10.06Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432 ±10.4
Season APEX 141.5Event APEX 60Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.5Event APEX 88.45Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120Event APEX 78.51Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2609, 2386, 6875
36
/ 100 compatProjected
93.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2609, 2386, 6875
Auto
28.0 31%
Teleop
31.7 35%
Endgame
29.9 33%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8089, 5409, 4917
66
/ 100 compatProjected
227 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8089, 5409, 4917
Auto
50.6 23%
Teleop
121.4 55%
Endgame
47.9 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93.4pts
Blue projected score227pts
Red win probability16%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -133.5
- Score range
- 56–264
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
293.3Season APEX432
28Auto50.6
31.7Teleop121.4
29.9Endgame47.9
0Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 69 |
| teleop | 86 | 70 |
| endgame | 49 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 177 | 163 |
Result
Final score
177 – 163
Prediction missed · off by 73.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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