Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
179.51 – 32.95
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
162 – 56
Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 99.6Event APEX 59.87Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX 78.39Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 41.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 5.71Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.9Event APEX -8.15Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 35.39Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2609, 7058, 3756
58
/ 100 compatProjected
179.5 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2609, 7058, 3756
Auto
43.2 27%
Teleop
90.1 57%
Endgame
25.1 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6875, 8764, 5408
30
/ 100 compatProjected
33 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6875, 8764, 5408
Auto
1.0 3%
Teleop
20.1 61%
Endgame
11.6 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score179.5pts
Blue projected score33pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 146.6
- Score range
- -2–215
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
237.9Season APEX233.4
43.2Auto1
90.1Teleop20.1
25.1Endgame11.6
0Consistency179
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 12 |
| teleop | 88 | 20 |
| endgame | 40 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 162 | 56 |
Result
Final score
162 – 56
Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.