ONT District University of Waterloo Event

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.31 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

73 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 127.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.7 ±11.7

5409Chargers

Season APEX 170.5Event APEX 147.67Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1334OT Devils

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 124.08Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4940Knight Vision

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 7.56Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.5 ±12.8

6725WildBOTS

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 0.09Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4976Revolt Robotics

Season APEX 136.4Event APEX 17.73Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8764Thunder Robotics

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX -35.73Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5409, 1334, 4940

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.3 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5409, 1334, 4940

Auto

54.8 19%

Teleop

190.9 65%

Endgame

48.4 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6725, 4976, 8764

/ 100 compat

Projected

-17.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6725, 4976, 8764

Auto

-5.5 23%

Teleop

-20.6 85%

Endgame

1.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.3pts

Blue projected score-17.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 279.3
Score range: -35–314
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 194.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.7Season APEX248.5

54.8Auto-5.5

190.9Teleop-20.6

48.4Endgame1.8

3Consistency191

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	14
teleop	39	31
endgame	0	4
foul	0	0
total	73	49

Result

Final score

73 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 127.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.