ONT District University of Waterloo Event

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.94 – 136.05

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 279

Prediction correct · off by 97.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.2 ±10.4

6875Amazon Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 27.66Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4308ABSOLUTE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 32.9Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11227Goose Goose Duck

Season APEX 106.2Event APEX 60.38Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.1 ±10.5

6854Viking Robotics

Season APEX 37.7Event APEX 6.51Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

772Sabre Bytes Robotics

Season APEX 124.3Event APEX 67.36Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2702Rebels

Season APEX 265.1Event APEX 62.18Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6875, 4308, 11227

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6875, 4308, 11227

Auto

21.7 20%

Teleop

58.6 55%

Endgame

25.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6854, 772, 2702

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6854, 772, 2702

Auto

13.9 10%

Teleop

73.8 52%

Endgame

55.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score136.1pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample156alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.1
Score range: 86–171
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 195.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.2Season APEX427.1

21.7Auto13.9

58.6Teleop73.8

25.9Endgame55.3

79Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	48
teleop	31	165
endgame	13	61
foul	10	5
total	68	279

Result

Final score

68 – 279

Prediction correct · off by 97.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.