Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
124.35 – 49.88
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
288 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 100.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 72.56Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 68.34Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.2Event APEX -16.55Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 18.25Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 136.4Event APEX -1.26Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 32.89Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3683, 1334, 7058
56
/ 100 compatProjected
124.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3683, 1334, 7058
Auto
31.7 25%
Teleop
66.4 53%
Endgame
26.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5408, 4976, 10514
17
/ 100 compatProjected
49.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5408, 4976, 10514
Auto
13.6 28%
Teleop
-12.7 0%
Endgame
47.1 98%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.4pts
Blue projected score49.9pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample156alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 74.5
- Score range
- 16–158
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.2Season APEX284.5
31.7Auto13.6
66.4Teleop-12.7
26.6Endgame47.1
46Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 62 | 26 |
| teleop | 154 | 57 |
| endgame | 67 | 0 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 288 | 88 |
Result
Final score
288 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 100.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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